World News from data (good & bad)
Significant changes vs. 10 days ago in transmission rates, ICU demand, and cases & deaths data.
- Transmission rate:
- โญ Bad news: new waves ๐ง๐ฟ ๐ญ๐น ๐น๐ฉ ๐ธ๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ฏ๐ด
- ๐ข Good news: slowing waves ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐ถ ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ฒ๐ฐ ๐ง๐ท ๐ฆ๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ท ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ณ๐ช ๐ช๐น ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ณ๐ด ๐ป๐ณ ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ณ ๐ง๐ฏ ๐ฑ๐ฐ ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ต๐น
- ICU need
- โญ Bad news: higher ICU need ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ฑ๐ฐ ๐ท๐ธ ๐ต๐ธ ๐ธ๐ท ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฒ๐ฉ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐ธ๐ฎ ๐ป๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ญ๐ท ๐จ๐ท ๐ฌ๐พ ๐ฑ๐น ๐ง๐ฟ ๐ง๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ป ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฒ๐ณ ๐ฆ๐ฑ ๐จ๐ญ ๐ช๐ช ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ต๐ญ ๐ง๐ธ ๐ฆ๐น
- ๐ข Good news: lower ICU need ๐ง๐ผ ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ท๐ด ๐ซ๐ฏ ๐น๐ณ ๐ฆ๐ท ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฒ๐ฐ ๐ซ๐ท ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐จ๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐บ๐ฌ ๐ง๐ท ๐ช๐ธ ๐ฐ๐ฟ ๐ต๐พ ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ช๐จ ๐ฟ๐ผ ๐จ๐บ ๐ธ๐ป ๐ฌ๐น ๐ฒ๐ฆ ๐จ๐พ ๐ต๐น ๐ง๐ด ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ง๐ฉ ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ท๐บ ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ฌ๐ท ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ช ๐น๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ผ ๐น๐น ๐ณ๐ต ๐ฒ๐ผ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ฑ๐พ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ฑ ๐ฒ๐น ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐พ ๐ฌ๐ผ ๐ฎ๐ถ ๐ธ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ธ
- New cases and deaths:
- โญ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks
- ๐ข Good news: no new cases or deaths ๐ฑ๐ธ
- Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases ๐ง๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ ๐น๐ฏ ๐ธ๐ธ ๐ง๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ฏ ๐น๐ฉ ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ธ๐ฑ ๐จ๐ฌ ๐ง๐ฎ ๐ฑ๐ท
- No news: continously inactive countries ๐น๐ฟ
- Deaths burden:
- Appendix:
Transmission rate:
Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large increase" = at least +2% change.
Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large decrease" = at least -2% change.
Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.
New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
- Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly lower" = 50% less
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.